Scenarios for forest reserve expansion and adaptive management under alternative climate change scenarios in the northern Great Lakes

Completed: June 2013
LCC funding: $104,868
Robert Scheller, Portland State University

Researchers are assessing how an expansion of forest reserves and climate-adaptive management may improve ecological connectivity and resilience under different climate scenarios. Resilience is being measured as the capacity for these systems to maintain extant forest communities and aboveground live biomass. Forest landscape change is being simulated via a spatially explicit forest ecosystem model, LANDIS-II. Simulations will cover areas in northern Minnesota and northern lower Michigan that represent northern Great Lakes forest types. Restoring and maintaining ecological connectivity is one of the primary climate change adaptation strategies available to land managers, in addition to silvicultural practices. This study is integrated in an ongoing regional Climate Change Response Framework linking the results to land management throughout the northwoods.

Project Resources:
ESA Ecosphere Journal Publication
Case Study: The Nature Conservancy: Forestry Adaptation in Minnesota’s Northwoods
Climate Change Response Framework

Upper Midwest and Great Lakes LCC

The Upper Midwest and Great Lakes LCC envisions a conservation community that while governed by their unique purposes and missions, collaborates on sustaining lands and waters that support natural and cultural resources and the services they provide. Our mission is to support and sustain this conservation community by facilitating communication, coordination and collaboration to bridge cutting-edge scientific research with natural resources management.

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John Rogner
LCC Coordinator
847-381-2253 ext. 12